FNUS75 KGJT 082150
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
250 PM MST MON NOV 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON NOVEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL WORK OVER THE BURN SITE
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. TUESDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURE WILL LIKELY
OCCUR IN THE MORNING WITH FALLING OR STEADY TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL START TONIGHT BUT QUICKLY TRANSITION TO
SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. WHILE SNOW WILL FALL TO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
TUESDAY MORNING...ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY START AT AROUND 7000
FEET. TOTAL SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... AROUND
0.35 INCH WITH ONE MODEL PRODUCING 0.5 INCHES THAT CAN'T BE RULED
OUT. SNOW ACCUMULATION 1-3 INCHES AT 7400 FEET. HIGH PRESSURE ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGS DRY WEATHER AHEAD OF THE NEXT PACIFIC STORM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...AND ANOTHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. PARTIAL CLEARING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......500 INCREASING TO 1000+ IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED LATE
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.VETERANS DAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS 15-25. HIGHS 30-40.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15-25. HIGHS 34-44. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19-29. HIGHS 38-48. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...MATT MADARIAGA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101109.RAYME.01/GJT