FNUS75 KGJT 091925
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1225 PM MST TUE NOV 9 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MST ON NOVEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WE MAY LOOK BACK AND SAY LAST NIGHT'S FRONTAL
PASSAGE WAS THE BEGINNING OF THE WINTER SEASON. MUCH COLDER
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK (AND
MOST LIKELY THE REST OF 2010). CLEARING CONDITIONS ARRIVE TONIGHT
SETTING UP A STRONG SURFACE-BASED INVERSION. BUT ANOTHER STORM
DROPPING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WILL HELP TO BREAK THESE
INVERSIONS AS SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BEFORE THE LOW
LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. DRY AND STABLE AND POOR MIXING ARE IN
STORE ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM OVER THE WEEKEND.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING AND THICKENING CLOUDS. ISOLATED
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 700 (ABOVE 500 BY NOON).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL BEFORE NOON
                    INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 500 EXCEPT 1000+ IN SHOWERS
                    (BY DEFINITION).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL EXCEPT HIGHER IN SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.VETERANS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 350.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...MOAB DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101109.RAYME.02/GJT