FNUS75 KBOU 101614 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GRIZZLY RX PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 914 AM MST WED NOV 10 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. MID AND UPPER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN INCREASING FROM THE WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER THE STATE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING. MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN NORMAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1400 UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-28. MIN HUMIDITY........66-74%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3200-4200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15. MAX HUMIDITY........94-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .VETERANS DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-30. MIN HUMIDITY........72-78%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GRIZZLY RX PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/10-09 0 0 18 79 SW 9 1 2558 SW 14 32286 P 11/10-10 0 0 20 73 SW 9 1 3158 W 15 41977 F 11/10-11 0 0 22 70 SW 9 14 4 1 W20 3758 W 16 51668 F 11/10-12 0 0 22 69 W 9 1 3903 SW 16 53038 F 11/10-13 0 0 23 69 W 9 1 4048 SW 15 54408 F 11/10-14 52 10 23 69 W 8 8 3 1 SW15 4194 SW 15 55778 F 11/10-15 52 10 23 70 W 6 1 3894 SW 13 44932 F 11/10-16 52 10 22 73 W 3 1 3594 SW 10 34087 P 11/10-17 68 60 21 79 W 2 2 3 1 SW14 3294 SW 8 23241 P 11/10-18 68 60 19 87 SW 2 1 2664 SW 7 16646 P 11/10-19 68 60 18 94 SE 2 1 2035 S 5 10050 P 11/10-20 68 60 17 98 E 2 2 3 1 SW14 1406 S 2 3455 P 11/10-21 68 60 16 100 E 2 1 1131 SE 3 2963 P 11/10-22 68 60 16 100 SE 3 1 857 SE 3 2471 P 11/10-23 98 70 16 100 SE 3 3 3 1 SW17 582 SE 3 1979 P 11/11-00 98 70 15 100 SE 3 1 540 SE 3 1860 P 11/11-01 98 70 15 100 E 5 1 497 SE 5 1740 P 11/11-02 98 70 15 100 E 5 5 3 1 SW17 454 SE 5 1620 P 11/11-03 98 70 15 100 E 5 1 425 E 3 1476 P 11/11-04 98 70 14 100 E 3 1 395 E 3 1332 P 11/11-05 90 60 14 100 E 3 3 3 1 SW13 365 E 3 1188 P 11/11-06 90 60 14 98 E 3 1 599 E 5 2403 P 11/11-07 90 60 15 93 NE 3 1 833 E 5 3617 P 11/11-08 90 60 17 85 NE 3 3 3 1 SW10 1067 E 6 4832 P 11/11-09 90 60 16 97 NE 3 1 1175 NE 5 3165 P 11/11-10 90 60 19 95 NE 2 1 1861 NE 3 4200 P 11/11-11 90 60 22 91 N 2 2 3 1 SW 7 2546 NE 2 5235 P 11/11-12 90 60 22 91 N 2 1 3032 NE 2 7181 P 11/11-13 90 60 23 85 N 3 1 3518 N 3 9127 P 11/11-14 90 60 25 78 N 3 3 3 1 W10 4004 N 3 11073 P 11/11-15 90 60 25 75 N 5 1 3368 N 3 9685 P 11/11-16 90 60 22 82 NW 5 1 2732 N 3 8296 P 11/11-17 70 56 20 88 NW 5 5 3 1 W13 2096 N 3 6908 P 11/11-18 70 56 19 92 N 3 1 1687 N 2 4757 P 11/11-19 70 56 19 94 NE 2 1 1278 CALM 2606 P 11/11-20 70 56 18 96 CALM 1 3 1 W12 870 CALM 455 P 11/11-21 70 56 19 93 CALM 1 778 N 2 1210 P 11/11-22 70 56 17 98 NW 2 1 685 W 3 1965 P 11/11-23 65 30 17 97 W 3 3 3 1 W 9 593 W 6 2720 P 11/12-00 65 30 16 96 W 3 1 673 W 7 3880 P 11/12-01 65 30 16 90 W 5 1 754 W 7 5040 P 11/12-02 65 30 16 85 W 5 5 3 1 NW15 834 W 8 6199 P 11/12-03 65 30 15 82 W 5 1 911 W 9 7811 P 11/12-04 65 30 15 79 W 6 1 989 W 10 9423 P 11/12-05 25 4 15 78 W 6 6 2 1 NW22 1067 W 12 11035 P 11/12-06 25 4 14 81 W 6 1 1039 W 12 9940 P 11/12-07 25 4 14 85 W 6 1 1011 W 10 8845 P 11/12-08 25 4 13 93 W 6 6 2 1 NW31 983 W 9 7750 P 11/12-09 25 4 16 89 W 7 1 1890 W 10 20843 P 11/12-10 25 4 19 83 W 8 1 2797 W 13 33936 P 11/12-11 26 4 22 77 W 9 15 2 1 NW39 3705 W 15 47028 F 11/12-12 26 4 22 76 W 10 1 3885 W 16 55388 F 11/12-13 26 4 23 73 W 12 1 4066 W 18 63747 G 11/12-14 26 4 25 67 W 12 18 2 1 NW38 4246 W 20 72107 G 11/12-15 26 4 25 66 W 12 1 3474 W 20 58112 F 11/12-16 26 4 23 71 W 10 1 2702 W 18 44117 F 11/12-17 38 5 21 75 W 9 15 2 1 NW37 1929 W 18 30123 P 11/12-18 38 5 20 77 W 8 1 1493 W 16 22231 P 11/12-19 37 5 20 77 W 8 1 1058 W 14 14339 P 11/12-20 37 5 19 77 W 7 7 2 1 NW30 622 W 12 6447 P 11/12-21 37 5 20 73 W 6 1 551 W 10 5152 P 11/12-22 36 5 19 76 W 6 1 480 W 9 3857 P 11/12-23 36 5 18 75 SW 5 5 3 1 NW28 409 W 7 2562 P 11/13-00 40 5 17 78 SW 5 1 361 W 6 2055 P 11/13-01 44 5 17 77 SW 3 1 313 W 6 1548 P 11/13-02 48 5 17 77 SW 3 3 2 1 W26 265 W 5 1041 P 11/13-03 52 5 17 78 SW 3 1 255 SW 5 979 P 11/13-04 56 5 16 80 SW 3 1 245 SW 5 917 P 11/13-05 60 30 16 81 SW 3 3 2 1 W28 235 SW 5 854 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JON MYERS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101110.GRIZZ.01/BOU