FNUS75 KGJT 101511
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HWY 134 PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
811 AM MST WED NOV 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 MST ON NOVEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WAS DROPPING INTO THE GREAT
BASIN THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA ON
THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE TODAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW TODAY WILL SHIFT TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION THURSDAY. POOLED COLD AIR THIS MORNING WILL TAKE SOME
TIME TO MIX OUT...BUT DISPERSION SHOULD IMPROVE TO GOOD THIS
AFTERNOON ONCE THAT HAPPENS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) BY 1100.
                    NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING DURING THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH AFTER 1100 INCREASING TO
                    12 MPH AFTER 1300. A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11900-12000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT 1100 INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500-39600 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3900-21600 KNOT-FT)...EXCEPT FAIR TO
                    GOOD IN SNOW SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...KURTENBACH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101110.HWY13.01/GJT