FNUS75 KGJT 102238
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
338 PM MST WED NOV 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1540 MST ON NOVEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LEAD DISTURBANCE WAS BRINGING SNOW TO THE BURN
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF THE MAIN STORM CENTER THAT IS EXPECTED
TO CROSS EASTERN UTAH LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. PERIODS OF SNOW
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A COUPLE INCHES ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS...AND
WORSE SMOKE DISPERSION...ON FRIDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 625 AFTER 1200 IN SNOW SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH BY NOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......100
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN
                    SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......350.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MOAB DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101110.RAYME.01/GJT