FNUS73 KLSX 101804
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKORY HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1204 PM CST WED NOV 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1126 CST ON NOVEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR STEADY AS
MOISTURE IS AVECTED NORTHWARD AND OFFSETS DRYING AFFECTS DUE TO
MIXING THIS AFTERNOON. A FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
BURN AREA TONIGHT...BUT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY MORNING WITH THE THREAT OF THUNDER MOVING
NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT REQUEST...MAX 72.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND AT AROUND 7 MPH USING 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 18
                    MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 AT NOON...5000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 23 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (15727 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH AT 2 MPH USING 0.4 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE THIS EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND AROUND 4 MPH WITH 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHLY
                    5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6944 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TILLY
REQUESTED BY...TIM BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101110.HICKO.01/LSX