FNUS73 KOAX 111049 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR PARROTT FARM...POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTY CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 449 AM CST THU NOV 11 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON NOVEMBER 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WITH AN EASTERLY WIND IS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS. A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW SOAKING RAINS TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND FRIDAY ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REACH THE MID 50S...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE MID 30S. THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX IS IN THE MODERATE CATEGORY TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........17 24 35 42 53 68 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............28 30 40 50 55 55 RH..............100 100 70 49 39 40 20 FT WIND......N 5 NE 3 NE 5 E 7 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........78 85 94 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............49 46 43 41 41 39 RH..............49 59 64 72 77 89 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 8 NE 12 NE 13 NE 16 NE 18 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 25 25 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 43. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 28 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO 25 TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............38 38 40 42 43 42 RH..............96 95 89 80 74 75 20 FT WIND......NE 18 NE 17 NE 17 N 16 NE 16 NE 16 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 2 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101111.PARRO.01/OAX