FNUS75 KGJT 122159
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...BLM - MOAB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
259 PM MST FRI NOV 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON NOVEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ONE UPPER DISTURBANCE PASSES LATE SATURDAY...AND ANOTHER PASSES
LATE SUNDAY. WITH LIMITED MIXING...COOL AIR WILL REMAIN IN THE
VALLEYS WITH RATHER STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL
BE LIMITED.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-38 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-6 MPH. OVER
                    RIDGETOPS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY NOON
                    AND TO 4000 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 100 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000 BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH BY 1300. OVER RIDGETOPS...
                    NORTH 6-9 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 365 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 MPH AT 1200 INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN KEATING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101113.RAYME.01/GJT