FNUS73 KPAH 131343 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR COY JACKSON FIRE...USFS LBL NAT REC AREA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 743 AM CST SAT NOV 13 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0723 CST ON NOVEMBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LITTLE RAIN IS LIKELY TODAY AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE RAIN IS ALMOST A CERTAINTY...IT WILL NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH...AS RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH. ONCE IT STARTS RAINING AT YOUR LOCATION...IT SHOULD LAST FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS AT THE MOST. EVEN ONCE THE RAIN COMES TO AN END...PLENTY OF CLOUDS WILL LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH SOME CLEARING POSSIBLE LATE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND BRING COOLER WEATHER FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) BY MID MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........58 AT REQUEST...MAX 66. RH..................71 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 1500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... CHC DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC SCHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 58 61 63 65 65 65 64 63 60 57 RH..............71 57 53 59 66 70 65 63 62 64 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 8 9 10 11 11 11 10 9 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 20 25 25 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 23 26 29 30 31 30 28 25 22 18 CWR.............0 0 30 80 90 70 50 30 20 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 47 44 42 40 38 RH..............83 96 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......SW 4 W 4 W 4 W 3 NW 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 1800 1700 1300 900 TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 13 NW 10 NW 9 NW 9 N 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 INCREASING TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH INCREASING TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 45 54 56 RH..............92 60 40 37 20 FT WIND......NW 2G5 W 3G5 W 4G5 W 5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 2200 3500 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 NW 7 NW 5 NW 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 3 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101113.COYJA.01/PAH