FNUS75 KGJT 142117
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WET MEADOWS...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY/STATE DNR UT/BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
217 PM MST SUN NOV 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1310 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS PRODUCING SNOW ACROSS
NORTHEAST UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO THROUGH TUESDAY. THEN THE
FLOW ALOFT SHIFTS TO SOUTHWEST BRINGING MILD AND STABLE AIR OVER
THE BURN SITE. GRADIENT WINDS INCREASE BEGINNING THURSDAY FOR A
CHANCE OF AT LEAST FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL. THIS CHANCE WILL INCREASE
INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH INCREASING WINDS ALOFT
AND CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 250.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY 1-5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 350.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 9...
.WEDNESDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 25-35. HIGHS 46-56. WEST WINDS 5 MPH.
MAX ESTIMATED CLEARING INDEX 300.
.THURSDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 24-34. HIGHS 48-58. SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
MAX ESTIMATED CLEARING INDEX 400.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 29-39. HIGHS 48-58. SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
MAX ESTIMATED CLEARING INDEX 450.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 31-41. HIGHS 45-55.
MAX ESTIMATED CLEARING INDEX 1000+.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS 40-45. HIGHS 45-55.
MAX ESTIMATED CLEARING INDEX 1000+.
.MONDAY-TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 30-35. HIGHS 45-55.
MAX ESTIMATED CLEARING INDEX 1000+.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY BAILEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101114.WETME.01/GJT