FNUS75 KBOU 151534 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDEPENDENCE MTN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 835 AM MST MON NOV 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...INCREASING NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW ALOFT BRINGING SNOW TO THE BURN AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DECREASING. THE LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31. MIN HUMIDITY........75-85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2300...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 0500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-24. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. FAIR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MIN HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDEPENDENCE MTN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/15-08 100 93 23 100 NW 12 17 3 1 NW31 2024 NW 18 32471 P 11/15-09 100 93 24 96 NW 14 1 2957 NW 20 52959 F 11/15-10 100 93 26 90 NW 15 1 3890 NW 21 73448 G 11/15-11 100 93 27 85 NW 16 24 3 1 NW26 4823 NW 22 93936 G 11/15-12 100 93 28 82 NW 16 1 4954 NW 22 95848 G 11/15-13 100 93 28 80 NW 15 1 5085 NW 22 97760 G 11/15-14 100 93 28 80 NW 14 21 3 1 NW22 5215 NW 22 99672 G 11/15-15 100 93 28 81 NW 13 1 5035 NW 22 93533 G 11/15-16 100 93 27 84 NW 13 1 4854 NW 21 87395 G 11/15-17 93 81 26 88 NW 12 17 3 1 NW22 4673 NW 20 81256 G 11/15-18 93 81 25 92 NW 12 1 4125 NW 20 69279 G 11/15-19 93 81 23 97 W 12 1 3578 NW 18 57302 F 11/15-20 89 81 22 100 W 12 17 2 1 W26 3031 NW 17 45325 F 11/15-21 89 81 22 100 W 12 1 3024 NW 16 43101 F 11/15-22 89 81 22 100 W 10 1 3018 NW 16 40876 F 11/15-23 82 56 22 100 W 10 16 2 1 NW43 3012 NW 15 38652 P 11/16-00 82 56 22 99 W 10 1 2784 W 18 42009 F 11/16-01 82 56 22 97 W 10 1 2557 W 21 45366 F 11/16-02 82 56 22 95 W 12 17 2 1 NW59 2330 W 24 48723 F 11/16-03 82 56 22 93 W 12 1 2216 W 25 49086 F 11/16-04 82 56 22 92 W 13 1 2102 W 28 49449 F 11/16-05 74 40 22 93 SW 14 21 2 1 NW53 1988 W 29 49813 F 11/16-06 74 40 20 100 SW 16 1 1865 W 31 50208 F 11/16-07 74 40 20 100 W 18 1 1741 W 33 50604 F 11/16-08 82 40 22 100 W 21 31 2 1 NW54 1618 W 37 50999 F 11/16-09 82 40 25 96 W 22 1 2245 W 38 77514 G 11/16-10 82 40 29 89 W 23 1 2873 W 40 104029 V 11/16-11 72 40 31 85 W 23 35 2 1 NW51 3500 W 43 130543 V 11/16-12 72 40 31 85 W 23 1 3684 W 44 141767 V 11/16-13 72 40 32 82 W 23 1 3867 W 45 152991 E 11/16-14 74 40 32 80 W 23 35 2 1 W63 4051 W 47 164215 E 11/16-15 74 40 31 79 W 22 1 3317 W 45 131889 V 11/16-16 74 40 29 81 W 22 1 2584 W 44 99562 G 11/16-17 86 70 25 94 W 21 31 2 1 W70 1850 W 41 67235 G 11/16-18 86 70 22 98 W 21 1 1483 W 38 51580 F 11/16-19 86 70 21 94 W 21 1 1116 W 35 35925 P 11/16-20 79 70 19 94 W 21 31 2 1 W68 749 W 31 20270 P 11/16-21 79 70 18 92 W 21 1 906 W 30 23070 P 11/16-22 79 70 17 90 W 21 1 1063 W 29 25870 P 11/16-23 85 70 15 91 W 20 30 2 1 W59 1221 NW 26 28669 P 11/17-00 85 70 15 90 W 18 1 1151 W 25 25614 P 11/17-01 85 70 14 92 W 17 1 1081 W 24 22559 P 11/17-02 65 70 14 90 W 16 24 2 1 NW51 1011 W 22 19503 P 11/17-03 65 70 13 91 W 14 1 1029 W 22 19756 P 11/17-04 65 70 12 97 W 13 1 1046 W 22 20009 P 11/17-05 66 20 13 93 W 10 16 2 1 NW68 1064 W 22 20261 P 11/17-06 66 20 13 98 W 9 1 1288 W 22 23683 P 11/17-07 66 20 13 100 W 8 1 1512 W 21 27105 P 11/17-08 57 20 16 93 SW 8 8 2 1 NW64 1736 W 21 30527 P 11/17-09 57 20 21 83 SW 9 1 2540 W 22 50019 F 11/17-10 57 20 27 75 SW 10 1 3343 W 23 69510 G 11/17-11 48 0 30 71 SW 12 17 2 1 NW56 4147 W 24 89002 G 11/17-12 48 0 31 72 SW 13 1 3976 W 25 88912 G 11/17-13 48 0 31 71 SW 14 1 3805 W 26 88823 G 11/17-14 48 0 31 70 SW 15 23 2 1 W53 3634 W 28 88733 G 11/17-15 48 0 31 69 SW 15 1 2897 W 29 70890 G 11/17-16 48 0 29 70 SW 15 1 2160 W 29 53047 F 11/17-17 41 0 26 78 SW 14 21 2 1 W60 1423 W 29 35205 P 11/17-18 41 0 23 84 SW 13 1 1166 W 26 27986 P 11/17-19 41 0 23 85 SW 13 1 910 W 25 20767 P 11/17-20 41 0 21 90 SW 12 17 2 1 W55 654 W 24 13549 P 11/17-21 41 0 20 93 SW 10 1 513 SW 21 10010 P 11/17-22 41 0 19 95 SW 9 1 372 SW 17 6471 P 11/17-23 8 0 18 100 SW 9 14 2 1 W61 231 SW 15 2932 P 11/18-00 8 0 17 100 SW 9 1 215 SW 15 2731 P 11/18-01 8 0 17 100 S 9 1 199 SW 15 2531 P 11/18-02 8 0 17 100 S 10 16 2 1 NW68 183 SW 15 2330 P 11/18-03 8 0 16 100 SW 12 1 180 SW 16 2448 P 11/18-04 8 0 15 100 SW 12 1 177 SW 17 2566 P 11/18-05 23 1 17 100 SW 13 20 3 1 NW58 174 SW 17 2684 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101115.INDEP.01/BOU