FNUS75 KBOU 161540 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDEPENDENCE MOUNTAIN PILES...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 838 AM MST TUE NOV 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL AGAIN INCREASE OVER THE AREA TODAY. AS A RESULT...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE DECREASING OVERNIGHT. WIND WILL AGAIN BE A CONCERN THROUGH THE EVENING...CREATING AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND FAIRLY HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CREATE GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY. ON WEDNESDAY...THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE SNOWFALL AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY...BUT NOT AS STRONG AS TODAY. AFTER A MORNING INVERSION...THE AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE...ALLOWING FOR AN INCREASE IN MIXING HEIGHTS. DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE AFTER 1200. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THEN A DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO INTO COLORADO SUNDAY...WITH A CHANCE FOR SNOW. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY THROUGH THE PERIOD...INCREASING ON SUNDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WITH AREAS OF BLOWING ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MIN HUMIDITY........70-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 0200...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37. MIN HUMIDITY........65-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDEPENDENCE MOUNTAIN PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/16-08 94 70 23 100 W 18 30 2 1 NW63 1962 W 41 69919 G 11/16-09 94 70 26 94 W 18 1 2852 W 44 112221 V 11/16-10 94 70 29 89 W 18 1 3743 W 46 154522 E 11/16-11 94 90 31 85 W 18 30 2 1 W64 4633 W 48 196824 E 11/16-12 94 90 32 84 W 17 1 4866 W 49 212065 E 11/16-13 94 90 32 80 W 17 1 5100 W 51 227307 E 11/16-14 94 90 31 75 W 16 25 2 1 W79 5334 W 52 242548 E 11/16-15 94 90 31 72 W 16 1 4898 W 48 210112 E 11/16-16 94 90 28 76 W 16 1 4462 NW 45 177675 E 11/16-17 97 90 24 87 W 16 25 3 1 NW60 4026 NW 41 145238 V 11/16-18 97 90 21 94 W 15 1 3149 NW 37 108144 V 11/16-19 97 90 20 93 NW 14 1 2271 NW 32 71051 G 11/16-20 97 90 18 100 NW 13 21 3 1 NW48 1394 NW 28 33958 P 11/16-21 97 90 17 100 NW 12 1 1169 NW 25 26770 P 11/16-22 97 90 16 97 NW 12 1 944 NW 23 19583 P 11/16-23 86 90 15 100 NW 10 16 2 1 NW40 719 NW 20 12395 P 11/17-00 86 90 14 99 NW 9 1 726 NW 18 11842 P 11/17-01 86 90 14 100 W 8 1 733 W 17 11289 P 11/17-02 86 50 14 100 W 8 13 2 1 NW44 740 W 16 10736 P 11/17-03 86 50 13 98 W 8 1 698 W 16 9566 P 11/17-04 86 50 12 100 W 9 1 656 W 15 8397 P 11/17-05 50 15 13 92 W 9 15 2 1 NW56 614 W 14 7228 P 11/17-06 50 15 13 96 W 8 1 916 W 14 11177 P 11/17-07 50 15 14 96 SW 7 1 1219 W 14 15127 P 11/17-08 50 5 17 89 SW 6 6 2 1 NW55 1522 W 15 19076 P 11/17-09 28 5 22 82 SW 7 1 2343 W 17 39350 P 11/17-10 28 5 26 76 SW 9 1 3165 W 21 59624 F 11/17-11 28 0 29 76 SW 12 18 2 1 NW55 3986 W 23 79897 G 11/17-12 28 0 30 74 SW 14 1 3968 W 25 85757 G 11/17-13 28 0 31 72 SW 15 1 3949 W 26 91617 G 11/17-14 28 0 31 69 SW 16 25 2 1 NW55 3931 W 29 97477 G 11/17-15 28 0 31 69 SW 16 1 3286 W 29 82041 G 11/17-16 28 0 30 69 SW 16 1 2640 W 29 66604 G 11/17-17 16 0 27 73 SW 16 25 2 1 NW64 1995 W 30 51167 F 11/17-18 16 0 25 79 SW 15 1 1632 W 29 41088 F 11/17-19 16 0 23 84 SW 14 1 1270 SW 28 31009 P 11/17-20 16 0 22 86 SW 13 21 2 1 NW68 907 SW 26 20929 P 11/17-21 16 0 21 88 SW 13 1 756 SW 25 16952 P 11/17-22 16 0 21 89 SW 13 1 604 SW 24 12974 P 11/17-23 16 0 20 90 SW 13 21 3 1 NW68 452 SW 23 8997 P 11/18-00 16 0 20 91 SW 13 1 377 SW 22 7366 P 11/18-01 16 0 19 91 SW 14 1 301 SW 22 5736 P 11/18-02 16 0 19 92 SW 14 22 3 1 W67 226 SW 21 4105 P 11/18-03 16 0 18 92 SW 14 1 210 SW 21 3772 P 11/18-04 16 0 18 94 SW 15 1 193 SW 21 3438 P 11/18-05 25 0 18 97 SW 15 24 3 1 W59 177 SW 21 3105 P 11/18-06 25 0 17 100 SW 15 1 187 SW 20 3202 P 11/18-07 25 0 18 100 SW 14 1 197 SW 20 3299 P 11/18-08 25 0 22 94 SW 14 22 3 1 W51 206 SW 18 3396 P 11/18-09 25 0 26 84 SW 14 1 478 SW 23 11834 P 11/18-10 25 0 31 75 SW 14 1 749 SW 28 20272 P 11/18-11 25 0 33 72 SW 14 22 3 1 W55 1021 SW 32 28709 P 11/18-12 25 0 35 68 SW 15 1 1196 SW 33 35016 P 11/18-13 25 0 35 65 SW 15 1 1371 SW 35 41322 F 11/18-14 25 0 36 61 SW 16 25 3 1 W73 1546 SW 36 47628 F 11/18-15 25 0 36 60 SW 17 1 1407 SW 36 43402 F 11/18-16 25 0 34 60 SW 17 1 1268 SW 36 39176 P 11/18-17 25 0 32 63 SW 17 28 3 1 W81 1129 SW 36 34951 P 11/18-18 25 0 30 68 SW 17 1 924 SW 33 27597 P 11/18-19 25 0 28 73 SW 17 1 718 SW 31 20244 P 11/18-20 25 0 27 76 SW 16 25 3 1 W81 512 SW 29 12891 P 11/18-21 25 0 26 80 SW 15 1 484 SW 28 11776 P 11/18-22 25 0 26 85 SW 15 1 457 SW 26 10660 P 11/18-23 25 0 25 88 SW 14 22 3 1 W73 429 SW 25 9545 P 11/19-00 25 0 25 91 SW 14 1 382 SW 24 8050 P 11/19-01 25 0 24 93 SW 14 1 334 SW 22 6554 P 11/19-02 25 0 24 94 SW 14 22 3 1 W75 287 SW 21 5059 P 11/19-03 25 0 24 95 SW 14 1 271 SW 21 4861 P 11/19-04 25 0 23 96 SW 15 1 255 SW 21 4664 P 11/19-05 27 1 23 99 SW 15 24 3 1 W73 239 SW 22 4467 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101116.INDEP.01/BOU