FNUS73 KDMX 152155 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR BUZZARD HEAD...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 355 PM CST MON NOV 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON NOVEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE STATE TONIGHT WITH LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END ON TUESDAY MORNING WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........40 43 47 52 57 61 64 65 67 69 71 73 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW TEMP............43 41 40 39 38 38 37 37 36 36 35 35 RH..............73 76 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 82 78 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W W SW S S SE E NE NE E MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 47. RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (35800 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........74 73 71 70 68 66 65 64 61 59 57 54 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............33 34 35 37 39 42 44 45 46 46 45 43 RH..............85 85 85 85 82 76 73 70 71 71 70 76 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.3 2.3 1.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..E E SE S S SW SW SW W W W W MIXNG WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 7 9 12 13 13 13 10 8 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...JAMES KRIZMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101116.BUZZA.01/DMX