FNUS75 KGJT 161543
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVATION RIDGE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
843 AM MST TUE NOV 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 MST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE LAST IN A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES IS PASSING
TODAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PASS AROUND NOON WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST. A DRIER STABLE AIRMASS WILL WORK OVER THE
REGION STARTING TONIGHT. GRADIENT WINDS WILL STILL BE STRONG ON
WEDNESDAY. BUT VERTICAL MIXING WILL BE LIMITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS BY
                    NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F THEN FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 50 MPH BY NOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
CLEARING INDEX......500 INCREASING TO 1000+ BY 1000.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 45 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLEAR (20-30%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40
                    MPH...DECREASING TO 4-8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......650 DECREASING TO 100.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 BY
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 38000 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 380 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX OF 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...MARTELL GIBBONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101116.RESER.01/GJT