FNUS72 KJAX 161221
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EPERIMENTAL FORET...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
721 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0740 EST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE AND WIND WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH TONIGHT WITH DRIER
AIR MOVING IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. RH'S WILL BE NEAR CRITICALLY
LOW VALUES ON WEDNESDAY AND LIKELY ON THURSDAY. SUSTAINED
SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE FORECAST TODAY...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN VICINITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
OTHERWISE...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........70     70     70     84     84     84
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............56     69     77     79     79     74
RH..............100    79     59     55     60     84
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 12   S 15   SW 16  SW 15  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     25     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....500    2000   2000   3600   3600   2200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 17   S 17   SW 18  SW 18  SW 17
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     60     60     60
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO
                    8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........84     75     75     75     52     52
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     64     61     59     57     56
RH..............84     100    100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 9   SW 8   W 7    W 6    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   800    600    600    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17  SW 14  SW 9   SW 9   W 6    W 8
LVORI...........9      9      9      9      9      9
DISPERSION INDX.35     12     8      6      4      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     30     30     30     10     10
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101116.EPERI.01/JAX