FNUS73 KSGF 151816 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4...MO DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1216 PM CST MON NOV 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON NOVEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. UNDER A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS RANGING FROM 5 TO 10 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY...EVENTUALLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST TUESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE GREATER IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI FOR TUESDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM PASSES OVER THE REGION. MOST LOCATIONS OF SOUTHWEST OR CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL REMAIN DRY. MORE DRY WEATHER IS FORECASTED LATE IN THE WEEK...FOLLOWED BY WARMER TEMPERATURES. AS A MATTER OF FACT...AFTERNOON HIGHS COULD WARM WELL INTO THE 60S BY THIS WEEKEND. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR HOW STRONG THE SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOME THIS WEEKEND AS LOW HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 58. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT.......... HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 41 48 55 57 56 RH..............78 77 61 50 42 42 20 FT WIND......SE 1 SE 2 SE 4 SE 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1500 3400 4400 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 9 E 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 84 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT EAST WIND BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 46 44 43 42 41 RH..............54 63 70 76 78 82 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 3 E 2 NE 2 NE 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 1700 400 600 500 400 TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 12 E 9 E 9 NE 14 NE 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT NORTH WIND BECOMING WEST BY NOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 41 48 53 56 55 RH..............87 85 67 55 48 48 20 FT WIND......N 4 NW 4 NW 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 2800 4600 5200 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..N 24 N 23 NW 20 NW 16 NW 17 W 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...GRIFFIN REQUESTED BY...TIM SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101116.UNIT4.01/SGF