FNUS73 KSGF 161129 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4...MO DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 529 AM CST TUE NOV 16 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON NOVEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT RAIN WILL OCCUR EARLY THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH ARKANSAS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE RAIN SHIFTS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION. ANOTHER FAST MOVING LOW CENTER WILL MOVE THROUGH MISSOURI WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS. THE BULK OF ANY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE NORTH OF THE BURN SITE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........GRADUAL SHIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST TO WEST IN THE AFTERNOON CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE RAIN. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RN RN TEMP............49 52 54 55 56 57 55 53 RH..............71 66 62 58 54 50 52 56 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.9 3.9 4.6 4.9 4.7 4.0 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 16 16 17 18 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 39. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........GRADUAL SHIFT FROM THE WEST TO THE SOUTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 45 43 42 RH..............61 74 78 81 20 FT WIND......W 5G10 SW 5G10 SW 5G10 S 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 600 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..W 21 SW 23 SW 23 S 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 6 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 58. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS 20 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 28 TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 45 55 58 RH..............81 77 52 46 20 FT WIND......S 5G10 S 9G20 S 12G20 SW 8G15 MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 3700 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 21 SW 25 W 29 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ALBERT REQUESTED BY...TIM SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101116.UNIT4.01/SGF