FNUS72 KJAX 191009
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
509 AM EST FRI NOV 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1600 EST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST.

TODAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS PRECLUDING THE ISSUANCE OF RED
FLAGS.

SATURDAY...A CONTINUED EASTERLY FLOW REGIME WILL RESULT IN HIGHER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WITH MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 40 PERCENT. LIGHT
EASTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........4      0      6      6      23     29
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............38     41     58     69     72     70
RH..............93     87     52     35     30     31
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 5   NE 6   E 6    E 6    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    800    2600   2600   4400   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5   NE 7   E 9    E 9    E 10   E 10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........29     25     24     24     23     25
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     55     52     50     48     47
RH..............51     68     79     88     95     100
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 3    E 3    E 3    E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4100   1000   600    600    200    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10   E 8    E 6    E 6    E 3    E 3
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
DISPERSION INDX.51     11     6      3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...SANDRIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101117.ARABI.01/JAX