FNUS75 KBOU 192115 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY ISLAND...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 148 PM MST FRI NOV 19 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SO THE SKIES WILL FLUCTUATE FROM PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS. ON SATURDAY...NOT MUCH IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE. THE WAVE CLOUD STRUCTURE MAY BE WEAKER WHICH MAY KEEP A STANDING WAVE CLOUD FROM FORMING. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA HOWEVER...IT MAY BE MORE PARTLY VERSUS MOSTLY CLOUDY ON SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-48. MIN HUMIDITY........12-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1600. FAIR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-23. MAX HUMIDITY........43-47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST/SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-47. MIN HUMIDITY........13-16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SKY ISLAND. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/19-13 55 0 49 16 W 15 1 4858 W 17 73982 G 11/19-14 55 0 50 16 W 16 25 5 1 W48 5374 W 17 79947 G 11/19-15 55 0 49 15 W 14 1 4407 W 18 67136 G 11/19-16 55 0 47 14 W 12 1 3439 W 18 54325 F 11/19-17 49 0 42 16 W 8 13 4 1 W54 2472 W 20 41514 F 11/19-18 49 0 38 19 W 7 1 1793 W 17 29131 P 11/19-19 49 0 35 23 W 6 1 1113 W 14 16749 P 11/19-20 49 0 33 26 W 6 6 4 1 W51 434 W 12 4367 P 11/19-21 49 0 32 28 W 7 1 390 W 12 3977 P 11/19-22 49 0 31 31 W 7 1 345 W 12 3586 P 11/19-23 39 0 30 32 W 8 13 4 1 W52 301 W 13 3196 P 11/20-00 39 0 29 34 W 8 1 266 W 13 2829 P 11/20-01 39 0 28 36 W 7 1 230 W 13 2463 P 11/20-02 39 0 27 38 W 7 7 4 1 SW55 195 W 13 2096 P 11/20-03 39 0 27 40 W 7 1 187 W 12 1904 P 11/20-04 39 0 26 41 W 6 1 179 W 12 1711 P 11/20-05 38 0 25 42 W 6 6 4 1 SW55 170 W 10 1518 P 11/20-06 38 0 25 43 W 6 1 211 W 12 2074 P 11/20-07 38 0 25 42 W 6 1 251 W 12 2629 P 11/20-08 38 0 28 36 W 7 7 3 1 SW60 292 W 13 3185 P 11/20-09 38 0 33 29 W 9 1 991 W 17 20237 P 11/20-10 38 0 37 24 SW 12 1 1691 W 22 37289 P 11/20-11 33 0 40 22 SW 14 22 2 1 W59 2390 SW 26 54340 F 11/20-12 33 0 42 21 SW 16 1 3305 SW 31 97652 G 11/20-13 33 0 42 21 SW 17 1 4219 W 37 140963 V 11/20-14 33 0 43 22 SW 18 30 2 1 W38 5134 W 41 184275 E 11/20-15 33 0 42 23 SW 17 1 3642 W 35 126991 V 11/20-16 33 0 41 26 SW 15 1 2151 SW 29 69708 G 11/20-17 46 21 38 31 SW 13 21 2 1 SW38 659 SW 22 12424 P 11/20-18 46 21 35 36 SW 13 1 564 SW 21 10276 P 11/20-19 46 21 32 39 SW 13 1 508 SW 21 9293 P 11/20-20 46 21 31 42 SW 13 21 2 1 SW52 453 SW 21 8310 P 11/20-21 46 21 30 45 SW 13 1 428 SW 21 7691 P 11/20-22 46 21 30 48 SW 13 1 404 SW 20 7072 P 11/20-23 59 20 29 51 SW 13 21 2 1 SW73 380 SW 20 6452 P 11/21-00 59 20 28 53 SW 13 1 369 SW 20 6274 P 11/21-01 59 20 28 55 SW 14 1 358 SW 20 6095 P 11/21-02 59 20 27 57 SW 14 22 2 1 W70 347 SW 20 5916 P 11/21-03 59 20 27 60 SW 15 1 323 SW 20 5504 P 11/21-04 59 20 26 62 SW 15 1 299 SW 20 5091 P 11/21-05 59 20 26 64 SW 16 25 3 1 W79 275 SW 20 4679 P 11/21-06 59 20 25 65 SW 16 1 307 SW 20 5248 P 11/21-07 59 20 26 62 SW 17 1 339 SW 20 5816 P 11/21-08 59 20 28 55 SW 17 28 2 1 W60 371 SW 20 6385 P 11/21-09 59 20 32 46 SW 17 1 1796 SW 29 64994 G 11/21-10 59 20 36 39 SW 17 1 3220 W 37 123603 V 11/21-11 50 20 38 36 SW 17 28 3 1 W62 4645 W 45 182212 E 11/21-12 50 20 39 33 SW 17 1 4963 W 45 195813 E 11/21-13 50 20 40 31 SW 16 1 5281 W 46 209414 E 11/21-14 50 20 40 30 SW 15 24 2 1 W74 5600 W 46 223016 E 11/21-15 50 20 40 30 SW 14 1 5054 W 43 189170 E 11/21-16 50 20 38 31 SW 13 1 4508 SW 39 155325 E 11/21-17 50 20 35 35 SW 12 18 3 1 W74 3963 SW 36 121480 V 11/21-18 50 20 32 40 SW 12 1 2863 SW 32 85700 G 11/21-19 50 20 30 46 SW 12 1 1763 SW 28 49920 F 11/21-20 50 20 29 49 SW 12 18 3 1 W69 663 SW 24 14140 P 11/21-21 50 20 28 53 SW 12 1 554 SW 23 11372 P 11/21-22 50 20 27 57 SW 13 1 445 SW 22 8604 P 11/21-23 57 20 26 59 SW 13 21 3 1 W86 337 SW 20 5837 P 11/22-00 57 20 26 61 SW 13 1 359 SW 18 5858 P 11/22-01 57 20 25 62 SW 13 1 381 SW 18 5880 P 11/22-02 57 20 24 61 SW 14 22 3 1 SW70 403 SW 17 5901 P 11/22-03 57 20 24 60 SW 14 1 355 SW 17 5339 P 11/22-04 57 20 23 58 SW 14 1 308 SW 18 4776 P 11/22-05 53 14 23 57 SW 14 22 2 1 SW91 261 W 18 4213 P 11/22-06 53 14 22 54 SW 14 1 11/22-07 53 14 22 51 SW 15 1 11/22-08 53 14 24 44 SW 15 24 1 11/22-09 53 14 27 36 SW 15 1 11/22-10 53 14 30 31 SW 15 1 11/22-11 52 14 31 27 SW 15 24 1 11/22-12 52 14 33 26 SW 14 1 11/22-13 52 14 33 25 SW 13 1 11/22-14 52 14 33 25 SW 12 18 1 11/22-15 52 14 33 26 SW 10 1 11/22-16 52 14 31 28 SW 9 1 11/22-17 50 20 28 33 SW 8 8 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101119.SKYIS.02/BOU