FNUS72 KJAX 222011
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
311 PM EST MON NOV 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1320 EST ON NOVEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY.
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON
WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT MOST
WILL STAY JUST NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RE-BUILD
OVER THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD BEHIND THE FRONT. AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP
AFTER MIDNIGHT...MIXING WITH SMOKE AND PRODUCING VISIBILITIES BELOW
ONE MILE. FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY MID-MORNING. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........44     46     46     46     58     58
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............69     64     61     59     58     57
RH..............66     83     92     98     100    100
20 FT WIND......SE 5   E 6    SE 5   SE 2   S 1    S 0
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   2600   1400   1400   200    600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   SE 13  SE 12  SE 12  S 10   S 9
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....76.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     57     57     57     30     30
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     58     70     78     80     79
RH..............100    98     64     49     46     48
20 FT WIND......S 0    S 1    SW 5   SW 7   SW 8   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1000   2700   2700   4300   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9    S 9    SW 13  SW 13  SW 15  SW 13
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...CARROLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101120.ARABI.01/JAX