FNUS75 KGJT 221537
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD MONARCH...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
837 AM MST MON NOV 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 MST ON NOVEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SECONDARY BUT FAIRLY WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL DRIFT OVER THE
REGION TODAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING AND
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...MOSTLY ENDING BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY.
GRADIENT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY AFTERNOON BUT PRECIPITATION
SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATER TUESDAY NIGHT. STABILITY ALOFT TUESDAY
WILL INHIBIT SMOKE DISPERSAL TO THE FAIR CATEGORY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SCATTERED MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON SNOW SHOWERS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS FROM 20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AFTER 1000...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) EARLY WITH ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS...THEN PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR EARLY EVENING... THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    (21300-29400 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUD COVER DURING THE DAY WITH
                    50-60% COVERAGE BY AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-7 MPH EARLY...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH AFTER 1100...
                    INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON TO 10-15 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17100-30300 KNOT-FT) EARLY MORNING...
                    INCREASING TO FAIR BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700 BY
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101122.OLDMO.01/GJT