FNUS75 KGJT 231612
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUB DRAW PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
912 AM MST TUE NOV 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MST THIS EVENING UNTIL
NOON MST WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL CROSS
THE BURN AREA AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. SNOW...AND BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH WHITE-
OUT CONDITIONS EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL NOON THEN SHIFTING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO A
                    ROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY AROUND NOON...THEN IMPROVING
                    TO GOOD FOR A TIME BETWEEN 200 AND 330 PM MST.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    DEVELOPING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20 MPH. PERIODS OF GUSTS
                    UP TO 45 MPH INCREASING TO 55 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25000 KNOT FT)...FAIR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29 MPH INCREASING TO 45 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS WITH
                    BLOWING SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-27 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55%.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101123.CHUBD.01/GJT