FNUS75 KGJT 231529
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD MONARCH...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
829 AM MST TUE NOV 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 MST ON NOVEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE BURN SITE TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AHEAD OF STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN
AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-28 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH AFTER 1500. GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17200-28100 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL AT 1100 INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 13 MPH AT 1100 INCREASING TO 23 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN CLOUDY WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-16 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST 20 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 55 TO 65 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 45 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....16-21 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    65 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (68700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (278000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 50000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101123.OLDMO.01/GJT