FNUS72 KJAX 231943
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
243 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1355 EST ON NOVEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN. A
WEAK BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE TO NEAR THE FIRE SITE ON
WEDNESDAY. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RE-BUILD OVER THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD BEHIND THE FRONT. AREAS OF
FOG...LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES...WILL BE POSSIBLE THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS.
VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FIRE AS FOG AND SMOKE COMBINE. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES AND WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH ACROSS THE AREA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........53     14     14     14     43     43
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............70     64     61     59     57     56
RH..............65     84     93     98     100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   SW 2   W 1    W 0    W 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   2600   1400   1400   200    600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10  W 8    W 7    W 7    W 6    W 6
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........43     47     47     47     52     52
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     57     69     76     79     78
RH..............100    100    69     56     52     55
20 FT WIND......NW 0   NW 0   NE 1   E 2    E 3    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1000   2700   2700   4300   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    W 6    W 6    W 6    SW 7   SW 5
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...CARROLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101123.ARABI.01/JAX