FNUS72 KJAX 241959
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
259 PM EST WED NOV 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1450 EST ON NOVEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK BACK-DOOR FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL LIFT
BACK TO THE NORTH TONIGHT. AREAS OF FOG...LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES...WILL
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THIS FOG WILL MIX WITH SMOKE TO REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. THERE MAY BE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN
VISIBILITIES LATE TONIGHT AS FRONT LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH AND
LOW-LEVEL WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY AND BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES
THROUGH FRIDAY. CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN
SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........59     72     72     72     77     77
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  FOG    FOG
TEMP............68     63     61     59     58     56
RH..............81     95     100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 5    E 3    E 2    SE 1   SE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2600   1400   1400   200    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7    E 6    SE 6   SE 6   S 6    S 8
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THANKSGIVING DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG AND SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........77     62     62     62     48     48
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     57     69     77     79     78
RH..............100    100    66     50     46     49
20 FT WIND......SE 0   SE 1   S 5    S 8    S 9    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1000   2700   2700   4300   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 10   S 13   S 13   S 14   S 13
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...CARROLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101124.ARABI.01/JAX