FNUS72 KJAX 290916
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
416 AM EST MON NOV 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0350 EST ON NOVEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC WILL
KEEP RH VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WILDFIRE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MIN RH'S ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TUESDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL OCCUR BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY...WITH LIGHTER WINDS FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK.

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TUESDAY...WITH MORE
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT LATE TUESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-2800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........71     76     76     76     80     80
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............50     52     63     70     72     72
RH..............100    100    78     70     69     72
20 FT WIND......NE 7   E 7    E 7    E 10   SE 13  E 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1000   1800   1800   2800   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12   E 14   E 18   E 18   SE 21  E 21
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     87     87     87     87     87
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............69     68     67     66     66     65
RH..............79     84     87     88     88     89
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 10   SE 12  SE 10  SE 9   SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   1200   800    800    500    800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 21   E 18   SE 15  SE 15  SE 12  SE 14
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...TRABERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101129.ARABI.01/JAX