FNUS73 KJKL 291406 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR WALKER BRANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 906 AM EST MON NOV 29 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND BEGINS TRACKING TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LIFTS NORTH TOWARD THE AREA. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE WARM FRONT TODAY AND AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY. RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE BURN AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 51 AT IGNITION...MAX AROUND 57. HUMIDITY............AROUND 50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2300 FT AGL MAX AROUND 1600. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE... SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH MAX AROUND 1600. DISPERSION INDEX....18 AT IGNITION...MAX 39 AROUND 1600. TIME (EST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........40 48 62 65 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 57 56 53 RH..............51 46 53 66 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0000...THEN SHOWERS AFTER 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. POP.................90 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........66 80 88 98 100 100 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 52 53 54 55 54 RH..............74 78 81 86 89 90 20 FT WIND......SE 8 E 7 E 7 SE 6 SE 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 18 19 22 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. THEN RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 0900 AT AROUND 9 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. POP.................100 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....46. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 98 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 54 53 52 52 49 RH..............92 99 98 91 85 88 20 FT WIND......S 9 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PELTON REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101129.WALKE.01/JKL