FNUS72 KMHX 291414
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FARM FIELD 3 3 CREEF...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
914 AM EST MON NOV 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON NOVEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH EAST OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OVER THE AREA TUESDAY...THEN A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING. SOME INCREASE IN
                    CLOUDINESS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............20     25     29     37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................54     56     60     57
RH..................68     66     62     69
20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX........5      5      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............42     45     47     59     64     68
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................56     56     55     55     55     54
RH..................74     80     90     93     93     96
20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 10   E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9    SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3      3      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTH 29
                    TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............73     74     73     72     73     78
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................54     56     62     66     68     68
RH..................96     93     81     70     65     68
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 10  SE 12  SE 14  SE 16  SE 16  SE 16
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...AMY MIDGETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101129.FARMF.01/MHX