FNUS72 KJAX 301008 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 508 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0459 EST ON NOVEMBER 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TODAY...THEN WILL PUSH SOUTH EARLY WEDNESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SPEEDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. SMOKE WILL BE MOST CONCENTRATED NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE TODAY. TONIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY. MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR WILL FILTER OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SKIES BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING WITH AREAS OF SMOKE NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FIRE. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....59. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........80 84 84 84 77 77 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 65 73 79 81 80 RH..............100 100 87 72 67 66 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 8 S 9 S 13 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1200 2000 2000 2900 2400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 15 S 18 S 18 S 21 S 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....14. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........77 86 86 86 94 94 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............67 60 56 54 51 50 RH..............98 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 SW 10 W 12 W 12 NW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 1100 800 800 600 900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 16 W 15 W 15 NW 16 NW 18 LAL.............2 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................4 UNTIL 0700...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....63. $$ FORECASTER...ENYEDI REQUESTED BY...ENYEDI TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101130.ARABI.01/JAX