FNUS72 KJAX 011907
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
207 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1358 EST ON DECEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO
LOW RH VALUES AND GUSTY WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...A MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR MASS HAS FILTERED INTO THE
AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF NEAR 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.
BRIEF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH 5 PM EST. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS....WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES GENERALLY BOTTOMING OUT NEAR 25 PERCENT EACH DAY. LIGHT
WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ISSUANCE OF RED FLAGS AFTER TODAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........3      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     37     34     32     30     29
RH..............44     59     70     76     81     83
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NW 6   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   800    500    500    300    500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 20  NW 15  NW 9   NW 9   NW 6   NW 7
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.57     16     10     4      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........0      8      8      8      7      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............27     29     43     52     55     54
RH..............85     78     46     30     25     25
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 3    N 7    N 7    N 6    NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....500    700    1700   1700   2900   2400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7   N 9    NW 10  NW 10  NW 12  NW 9
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...ZAPPE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101201.ARABI.02/JAX