FNUS73 KAPX 012138
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLEY RD FUEL BREAK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
438 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON DECEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER ACROSS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. A FEW LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN SITE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
...WITH PERHAPS AN INCH OF SNOW BY TOMORROW MORNING...WITH MINIMAL
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. WINDS EXPECTED
TO STAY PRIMARILY OUT OF WEST DIRECTION THROUGH THE DURATION.
AFTER SOME GUSTY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE
PICKING UP SOME DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........88  80  80  80  80  80  80  88  88  88  88  88
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TEMP............26  25  25  25  25  24  24  24  24  24  24  24
RH..............71  74  74  74  74  77  81  81  81  81  81  81
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 31.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........88  81  81  81  81  81  81  80  80  80  80  80
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SW
TEMP............24  24  24  25  26  28  29  30  30  30  30  28
RH..............81  81  84  81  81  75  72  69  69  66  66  71
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH
REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101202.VALLE.01/APX