FNUS75 KBOU 012313 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK BOWL...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 413 PM MST WED DEC 1 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE STATE ON THURSDAY. A MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE DAY. MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AHEAD OF THE NEXT APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM. THE WINDS WILL MAY INCREASE IN INTENSITY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. SO FAR...SMOKE DISPERSION FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON APPEARS TO BE IN THE GOOD TO VERY GOOD CATEGORY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49. MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 8-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 32 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-25. MAX HUMIDITY........52-57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST /SOUTHWEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(45-55%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 22-32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-56 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 48-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 3400-4400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR CREEK BOWL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/02-06 32 0 20 74 W 17 1 218 W 22 4043 P 12/02-07 32 0 21 72 W 16 1 239 W 22 4433 P 12/02-08 32 0 24 64 W 16 25 2 1 NW43 260 W 22 4823 P 12/02-09 32 0 30 51 W 16 1 1302 W 24 30957 P 12/02-10 32 0 35 41 W 15 1 2344 W 26 57092 F 12/02-11 30 0 39 35 W 15 24 2 1 W46 3386 W 29 83226 G 12/02-12 30 0 41 32 W 14 1 3694 W 30 96071 G 12/02-13 30 0 43 31 W 14 1 4002 W 31 108915 V 12/02-14 30 0 43 30 W 14 22 2 1 W47 4310 W 32 121759 V 12/02-15 30 0 43 31 W 16 1 3602 W 35 105370 V 12/02-16 30 0 41 33 W 18 1 2893 W 37 88980 G 12/02-17 36 0 38 38 W 20 28 2 1 W53 2185 W 38 72591 G 12/02-18 36 0 29 53 W 18 1 1540 W 35 50407 F 12/02-19 36 0 28 53 W 17 1 895 W 31 28223 P 12/02-20 36 0 27 54 W 17 24 2 1 W46 250 W 28 6038 P 12/02-21 36 0 27 52 W 18 1 228 W 28 5565 P 12/02-22 36 0 26 53 W 21 1 206 W 29 5092 P 12/02-23 42 0 24 55 W 22 31 2 1 W53 184 W 29 4619 P 12/03-00 42 0 24 54 W 22 1 177 W 30 4516 P 12/03-01 42 0 24 55 W 23 1 171 W 30 4414 P 12/03-02 42 0 24 56 W 23 32 2 1 W48 164 W 30 4312 P 12/03-03 42 0 24 56 W 25 1 165 W 32 4546 P 12/03-04 42 0 24 55 W 28 1 165 W 33 4781 P 12/03-05 42 2 23 57 W 29 40 2 1 W52 166 W 35 5016 P 12/03-06 42 2 24 57 W 29 1 258 W 37 8616 P 12/03-07 42 2 24 57 W 29 1 350 W 39 12216 P 12/03-08 42 2 30 46 W 28 39 2 1 W58 441 W 41 15817 P 12/03-09 42 2 36 35 W 28 1 2021 W 46 91422 G 12/03-10 42 2 41 28 W 26 1 3601 W 49 167028 E 12/03-11 52 2 44 26 W 26 37 2 1 W77 5181 W 54 242633 E 12/03-12 52 2 44 25 W 25 1 5276 W 54 247370 E 12/03-13 52 2 45 24 W 24 1 5371 W 54 252107 E 12/03-14 52 2 43 27 W 23 32 2 1 W89 5466 W 54 256844 E 12/03-15 52 2 41 30 W 23 1 4549 W 52 207711 E 12/03-16 52 2 36 37 W 23 1 3632 W 49 158577 E 12/03-17 42 2 32 47 W 23 32 2 1 W89 2715 W 46 109444 V 12/03-18 42 2 29 54 W 23 1 2379 W 43 90729 G 12/03-19 42 2 28 58 W 23 1 2044 W 39 72013 G 12/03-20 42 2 27 63 W 22 31 2 1 W61 1708 W 36 53298 F 12/03-21 42 2 27 64 W 20 1 1806 W 35 53780 F 12/03-22 42 2 26 69 W 16 1 1904 W 33 54261 F 12/03-23 60 0 25 73 W 13 17 2 1 W66 2003 W 31 54743 F 12/04-00 60 0 25 73 W 12 1 2018 W 32 57019 F 12/04-01 60 0 24 74 W 10 1 2033 W 33 59295 F 12/04-02 60 0 24 74 W 10 10 3 1 W56 2048 W 35 61572 G 12/04-03 60 0 24 75 W 10 1 1963 W 33 56519 F 12/04-04 60 0 24 74 W 10 1 1879 W 31 51466 F 12/04-05 42 3 23 77 W 10 10 2 1 W62 1794 W 30 46414 F 12/04-06 42 3 24 77 W 10 1 2044 W 29 50700 F 12/04-07 42 3 24 77 W 9 1 2293 W 28 54986 F 12/04-08 42 3 29 64 W 9 9 2 1 W60 2543 W 26 59272 F 12/04-09 42 3 34 52 W 9 1 3481 W 29 90520 G 12/04-10 42 3 39 44 W 8 1 4420 W 31 121768 V 12/04-11 49 3 41 41 W 8 8 2 1 W53 5358 W 33 153016 E 12/04-12 49 3 41 41 W 7 1 5456 W 32 150233 E 12/04-13 49 3 42 40 W 7 1 5554 W 31 147449 V 12/04-14 49 3 40 44 W 6 6 2 1 W49 5652 W 30 144666 V 12/04-15 49 3 39 48 W 6 1 4700 W 26 112655 V 12/04-16 49 3 35 55 W 5 1 3748 W 23 80644 G 12/04-17 61 10 32 63 W 5 5 2 1 W49 2796 W 20 48633 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALLEN GALLAMORE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101202.BEARC.01/BOU