FNUS75 KPUB 021624
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN P9 P10E...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
924 AM MST THU DEC 2 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE ON
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE ROCKIES. GUSTY WESTERLY
WINDS MIXING DOWN ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE MORNING AND REMAIN
GUSTY THROUGH THE EVENING AS A PREFRONTAL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS. LATEST MODELS SUGGESTING MIN RHS TO BE JUST ABOVE
RED FLAG CRITERIA THROUGH LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT AND CURRENTLY LOOKS TO
BANK UP ACROSS THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING. IF THIS
HAPPENS...MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE LIMITED THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(51 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 15-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 36 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 12-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1800.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 35 MPH UNTIL 1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1800.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(53 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-45F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FEET.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101203.BLACK.01/PUB