FNUS72 KJAX 041949
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO JAX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
249 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1800 EST ON DECEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA LATE
TONIGHT AND PUSH SOUTH BY SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
IS EXPECTED BY AROUND 3 TO 5 AM SUNDAY MORNING. BREEZY SOUTHWEST TO WEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING AND THEN SHIFT TO NORTHWEST
AND GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT.

FROM SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK A UNSEASONABLY COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL
DROP TEMPERATURES AS MUCH AS 10-15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AND WILL
CONTINUE THE RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO
20 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE DAYTIME. DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGHOUT ALL OF NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........32     10     30     30     88     55
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............58     53     50     48     46     45
RH..............63     84     96     97     98     96
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 8   SW 9   W 10   W 10   NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.16     16     16     16     16     19
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   1000   800    800    600    700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   SW 15  W 14   W 14   W 14   W 16
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.49     19     11     12     9      11
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....68.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.


TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........55     15     12     12     18     18
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     44     50     53     54     53
RH..............86     73     53     42     37     36
20 FT WIND......NW 12  NW 12  NW 14  NW 13  NW 13  NW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.20     22     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....700    900    1900   2100   3200   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   NW 18  NW 21  NW 21  NW 21  NW 17
DISPERSION INDX.11     12     28     52     69     60
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...SHASHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101204.ARABI.01/JAX