FNUS72 KTAE 051045
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
545 AM EST SUN DEC 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON DECEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A SMALL PORTION OF THE PANHANDLE DUE TO A
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND SUSTAINED 20-FOOT WINDS
OF 15 MPH OR HIGHER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE
TRI-STATE REGION DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS IS
FILTERING INTO THE AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS SUNDAY MORNING.
AS A RESULT...A RED FAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
MOST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A SMALL PORTION OF THE PANHANDLE
DUE TO A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND SUSTAINED 20-FOOT
WINDS AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH. FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON WE SHOULD SEE LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE REGION
SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ALSO BEING ISSUED. RED FLAG CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY EACH AFTERNOON FOR MOST OR ALL OF THE REGION AT LEAST
THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH.
DISPERSION..........67

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     47     50     53     50     44
RH..............64     54     45     38     43     55
20 FT WIND......N 13   N 15   N 15   N 13   N 9    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING...DECREASING TO
                    900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION..........7

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BARRY
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN PRICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101205.JACKS.02/TAE