FNUS72 KMHX 061358
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 3 3 3 CREEF CUT...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
858 AM EST MON DEC 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON DECEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WELL TO THE NORTH AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL
MAINTAIN A COLD AND DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY.
COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5800 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      18     17
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................36     38     39     38
RH..................47     42     40     40
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 16   W 18   W 18   W 17
20 FT WIND GUST.....23     25     25     25
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............27     26     0      6      5      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................32     29     26     25     24     23
RH..................53     63     65     68     71     71
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 16   W 15   W 14   W 14   W 14   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     20     20     17     16
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............20     21     3      5      0      5
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................23     23     30     34     37     36
RH..................71     74     60     54     48     47
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 13   W 13   W 14   W 16   W 16   W 17
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      5      4

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101206.333CR.01/MHX