FNUS72 KILM 071305
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HASTY POINT...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
805 AM EST TUE DEC 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON DECEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...DANGEROUS FIRE BURNING CONDITIONS TODAY...

...BROTAK WIND PROFILE MIDDAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
EXCEPTIONALLY LOW DEWPOINTS TODAY...COUPLED WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE BURNING CONDITIONS TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP AROUND 25 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON ACCOMPANIED THE GUSTY WINDS.

DRY CANADIAN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM
THE WEST LATE SATURDAY WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN BY
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH NEAR RECORD LOWS THIS MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-5000 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 19 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................36     40     38
RH..................32     27     31
20 FT WIND..........NW 10  NW 10  NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....25     25     20

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101207.HASTY.02/ILM