FNUS72 KJAX 071005
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARABIA BAY...NWS WFO JAX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
505 AM EST TUE DEC 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EST ON DECEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD AND DRY AIR MASS WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
OVER THE AREA TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM CANADA.
BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH
HAS WARRANTED A RED FLAG TO BE ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.
ANOTHER SURGE OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN THURSDAY
BRINGING POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THE INLAND AREAS.
THE NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE ON SUNDAY WILL BRING BREEZY/WINDY
CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....75.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........6      6      6      6      5      5
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............23     25     37     46     49     48
RH..............71     62     36     24     20     21
20 FT WIND......NW 7   NW 9   NW 13  NW 14  NW 13  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     25     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....500    600    2000   2000   3400   2700
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14  NW 16  NW 20  NW 20  NW 22  NW 17

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH BECOMING NORTH 6 TO
                    7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      11     11     11     14     14
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............37     31     28     26     23     22
RH..............38     55     66     70     74     74
20 FT WIND......W 7    NW 3   NW 5   NW 3   NW 3   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   700    500    500    300    400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 17  NW 12  NW 8   NW 8   NW 6   N 7

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101207.ARABI.01/JAX