FNUS72 KMHX 071311
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CREEF CUT 3 3 3...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
811 AM EST TUE DEC 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON DECEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES WILL MAINTAIN A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA
FRIDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY.
COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA SUNDAY AND
MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5300 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............13     31     32     14
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................32     35     38     37
RH..................45     38     31     32
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 15   W 16   W 16   W 16
20 FT WIND GUST.....25     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1400-1800 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............13     10     0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................33     31     29     28     27     27
RH..................43     51     55     55     55     55
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 15   W 15   NW 14  NW 13  NW 12  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-4500 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      5      11     29
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................26     27     33     36     38     38
RH..................60     57     45     40     37     38
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 12  NW 14  NW 13  NW 12  NW 12  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      5      4

$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101207.CREEF.01/MHX