FNUS72 KMHX 081403
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CREEF CUT 3 3 6...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
903 AM EST WED DEC 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON DECEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST FROM THE PLAINS STATES
TO THE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. A VERY COLD AND DRY AIRMASS
WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH GRADUALLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. EXPECT INCREASING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS A SYSTEM PASSES WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA
BUT OTHERWISE REMAINING DRY ACROSS THE REGION.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SATURDAY...LIFTING
A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER STRONG
COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A RETURN OF
ARCTIC AIR MON AND TUE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THIS MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............0      17     23     29
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................32     36     37     34
RH..................39     33     32     36
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 13  NW 10  NW 10  W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............38     43     45     63     65     65
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................32     29     27     26     25     25
RH..................43     53     63     68     78     81
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 8   NW 8   NW 9   NW 9   NW 8   N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............62     59     40     17     14     21
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................24     25     33     38     41     40
RH..................84     81     58     48     44     46
20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 9    N 9    N 12   N 12   N 12   N 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101208.CREEF.01/MHX