FNUS75 KGJT 091622
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
922 AM MST THU DEC 9 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON DECEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRUSH EASTERN UTAH/WESTERN COLORADO
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HOWEVER MOST ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS STORM WILL STAY NORTH OF THE BURN SITE. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ON SATURDAY FOR FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WARM AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE IN BY SATURDAY
EVENING LEADING VERY STABLE CONDITIONS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%)...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (70-80%) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND NOON...THEN INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    BETWEEN 2 PM MST AND 5 PM MST. A FEW GUSTS
                    15-20 MPH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 540 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 18 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH BY LATE EVENING...THEN DECREASING
                    TO 3-6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......100 OR LESS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 MPH AROUND
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 520 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.


.SATURDAY NIGHT...THE AIR MASS WILL QUICKLY STABILIZE AS SUNSET
APPROACHES. SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY AS SOME MID LEVEL
MOISTURE MOVES OVER THE AREA. LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
BY MID TO LATE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MATT MADARIAGA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101210.RAYME.01/GJT