FNUS73 KLBF 091437 FWSLBF SPOT FORECAST FOR VALENTINE RX...USFWS REFUGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 837 AM CST THU DEC 9 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE BLACK HILLS REGION INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ON THE DAY FRIDAY. WINDS INITIALLY ACROSS THE POSSIBLE BURN AREA SHOULD START OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE DAY AND TURN MORE TO A WESTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON. AT THE MOMENT MIXING LOOKS TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE WINDS UNDER 20 MPH WITH GUSTS LIMITED AS WELL. AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH NORTHERN NEBRASKA BY THE MID EVENING HOURS WITH MUCH COLDER AIR AND STRONG WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH. A MIX OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS WELL. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH TURNING TO THE WEST AT 10 TO 15 IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST BY THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR. TIME (MST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........44 47 56 64 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 47 51 44 RH..............59 45 37 49 20 FT WIND......SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 6 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR INCREASING TO FAIR EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (MST) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM SKY (%).........67 75 86 95 97 99 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....FZRAIN FZRAIN FZRAIN SNOW SNOW SNOW TEMP............38 31 27 24 23 21 RH..............62 78 92 100 96 96 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 NW 10 NW 12 NW 12 NW 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 6 W 6 NW 10 NW 15 NW 15 NW 20 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 26 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD. TIME (MST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........100 98 96 94 88 80 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR TEMP............20 18 19 20 20 20 RH..............92 96 88 81 74 67 20 FT WIND......N 13 N 14 N 14 N 14 N 14 N 11 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 13 N 14 N 14 N 14 N 14 N 11 $$ FORECASTER...PHILLIPS REQUESTED BY...JEREMIAH PHILLIPS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101210.VALEN.01/LBF