FNUS75 KBOU 140049 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MT EVANS...CSFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 544 PM MST MON DEC 13 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING ANOTHER MILD AND DRY DAY TUESDAY. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...AND EVEN THEN BREEZES SHOULD BE MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE GOOD TO EXCELLENT WITH GOOD SURFACE HEATING FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. BY WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. AS A RESULT...THIS WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE BURN SITE WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....34. MAX HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-14 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 40 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN 1000-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 48-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5600-6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 48-56 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2400. POOR AFTER 0400. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200... THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MT EVANS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/13-17 43 0 41 21 W 13 20 2 1 NW75 2294 W 39 76933 G 12/13-18 43 0 38 24 W 13 1 1914 W 36 60946 G 12/13-19 43 0 37 27 W 14 1 1534 W 32 44959 F 12/13-20 43 0 36 28 W 14 21 2 1 NW76 1154 W 29 28973 P 12/13-21 43 0 35 29 W 14 1 948 W 26 22535 P 12/13-22 43 0 34 29 W 13 1 741 W 23 16097 P 12/13-23 43 0 34 29 W 13 20 3 1 W62 535 W 21 9659 P 12/14-00 43 0 34 31 W 13 1 624 W 22 11671 P 12/14-01 43 0 34 34 W 14 1 714 W 22 13682 P 12/14-02 43 0 34 36 W 14 21 3 1 W81 804 W 23 15694 P 12/14-03 43 0 34 36 W 15 1 1027 W 28 26667 P 12/14-04 43 0 34 37 W 15 1 1250 W 33 37641 P 12/14-05 47 0 34 37 W 15 23 2 1 W59 1473 W 38 48614 F 12/14-06 47 0 34 35 W 14 1 1718 W 38 55753 F 12/14-07 47 0 34 32 W 12 1 1964 W 37 62892 G 12/14-08 47 0 38 27 W 9 14 3 1 NW47 2210 W 37 70031 G 12/14-09 47 0 43 21 SW 7 1 3975 W 40 152995 E 12/14-10 47 0 47 17 SW 4 1 5741 W 45 235959 E 12/14-11 47 0 51 15 SW 5 8 2 1 W74 7507 W 48 318923 E 12/14-12 47 0 53 14 SW 9 1 7155 W 51 315343 E 12/14-13 47 0 53 14 SW 9 1 6804 W 53 311762 E 12/14-14 47 0 54 15 SW 10 16 2 1 W66 6453 W 55 308181 E 12/14-15 47 0 52 16 SW 10 1 5054 W 55 242677 E 12/14-16 47 0 45 21 SW 12 1 3655 W 56 177173 E 12/14-17 59 5 39 27 SW 12 20 2 1 W69 2507 W 49 107438 V 12/14-18 59 5 35 33 W 14 1 2469 W 52 110874 V 12/14-19 59 5 32 37 W 15 1 2431 W 54 114310 V 12/14-20 59 5 39 29 W 16 24 2 1 W49 2393 W 56 117746 V 12/14-21 59 5 38 30 W 17 1 2374 W 54 112151 V 12/14-22 59 5 38 31 W 17 1 2355 W 52 106557 V 12/14-23 49 10 37 33 W 18 28 2 1 W63 2337 W 49 100962 V 12/15-00 49 10 35 36 W 18 1 1999 W 48 85245 G 12/15-01 49 10 34 40 W 20 1 1661 W 48 69528 G 12/15-02 49 10 33 44 W 20 30 2 1 W75 1322 W 47 53811 F 12/15-03 49 10 32 49 W 20 1 1049 W 44 41467 F 12/15-04 49 10 31 53 W 21 1 775 W 41 29123 P 12/15-05 77 49 30 57 W 21 31 2 1 W64 502 W 38 16779 P 12/15-06 77 49 29 59 W 21 1 555 W 37 17592 P 12/15-07 77 49 28 61 W 21 1 609 W 35 18406 P 12/15-08 77 49 29 57 W 21 31 2 1 W60 663 W 33 19220 P 12/15-09 77 49 32 49 W 21 1 1831 W 35 58505 F 12/15-10 77 49 35 42 W 20 1 2999 W 37 97790 G 12/15-11 64 62 38 37 W 18 28 2 1 W51 4168 W 38 137075 V 12/15-12 64 62 39 36 W 16 1 4451 W 37 142831 V 12/15-13 64 62 40 36 NW 15 1 4735 W 36 148588 V 12/15-14 64 62 40 37 N 13 20 2 1 W49 5019 W 36 154345 E 12/15-15 64 62 40 39 N 12 1 4636 W 32 132735 V 12/15-16 64 62 39 42 NE 12 1 4253 W 30 111126 V 12/15-17 95 53 33 52 NE 10 16 2 1 W45 3871 W 26 89517 G 12/15-18 95 53 31 57 NE 9 1 3820 W 22 71777 G 12/15-19 95 53 29 60 E 9 1 3768 SW 16 54037 F 12/15-20 95 53 28 61 E 8 8 2 1 W54 3717 SW 12 36297 P 12/15-21 95 53 28 61 E 7 1 3724 SW 13 40014 F 12/15-22 95 53 27 61 SE 7 1 3730 SW 14 43730 F 12/15-23 91 42 26 62 S 7 7 2 1 W53 3736 SW 15 47447 F 12/16-00 91 42 25 64 S 7 1 3692 SW 15 48813 F 12/16-01 91 42 24 67 SW 8 1 3648 W 16 50179 F 12/16-02 91 42 23 69 W 8 8 2 1 W61 3604 W 16 51545 F 12/16-03 91 42 22 72 W 8 1 3580 W 16 49565 F 12/16-04 91 42 21 75 W 8 1 3555 W 15 47586 F 12/16-05 92 42 20 79 W 7 7 2 1 W54 3531 W 15 45606 F 12/16-06 92 42 19 80 W 6 1 3751 W 14 46425 F 12/16-07 92 42 18 83 W 6 1 3972 W 14 47245 F 12/16-08 92 42 19 79 W 5 5 2 1 W45 4192 W 13 48064 F 12/16-09 92 42 22 71 SW 5 1 4856 W 14 57608 F 12/16-10 92 42 24 64 SE 3 1 5520 W 14 67152 G 12/16-11 88 32 26 58 E 3 3 2 1 W41 6184 W 14 76697 G 12/16-12 88 32 28 53 E 3 1 6507 W 15 88158 G 12/16-13 88 32 28 50 NE 3 1 6830 W 16 99620 G 12/16-14 88 32 29 49 NE 3 3 2 1 W43 7153 W 18 111082 V 12/16-15 88 32 28 48 NE 3 1 6760 W 17 102420 V 12/16-16 88 32 27 49 N 3 1 6366 W 17 93759 G 12/16-17 73 22 24 55 N 3 3 2 1 W40 5972 W 16 85097 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALLEN GALLAMORE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101213.MTEVA.01/BOU