FNUS75 KGJT 130628
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLFLOWER...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1128 PM MST SUN DEC 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN TODAY.
LOCALLY, THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION CENTERED AT 13,000 FEET MSL WILL
LIMIT MIXING. BUT WITH 3-5 DEGREES OF WARMING THIS AFTERNOON
COMPARED TO SUNDAY, MIXING WILL APPROACH 3000 FEET AGL AND FAIR
CONDITIONS. THESE FAIR CONDITIONS WILL ONLY LAST FOR A FEW HOURS
AROUND MAX HEATING THAT WILL OCCUR AT ABOUT 1600 HOURS. THEN MIXING
HEIGHTS COLLAPSE. CLOUDS INCREASE TONIGHT KEEPING THE SURFACE-
BASED INVERSION WEAKER AND OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES NOT AS COLD.
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE LIMITED AGAIN ON TUESDAY, BUT WEST
TRANSPORT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE GOOD AFTERNOON DISPERSAL
CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY MORNING FOG. OTHERWISE SUNNY WITH
                    INCREASING AFTERNOON HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 1000...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT FAIR FROM 1300-1700 HOURS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT 1000 HOURS...INCREASING
                    TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1200...
                    THEN WEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER 1700 HOURS...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY TOWARDS MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 10000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY/NORTHEAST 1-4 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). MOUNTAIN VIRGA IN THE
                    AFTERNOON
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100 HOURS...THEN GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT 1000...INCREASING TO
                    5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....AFTERNOON WEST 30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101213.BELLF.01/GJT