FNUS75 KABQ 151729
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GALLINA...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1029 AM MST WED DEC 15 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINTER STORM WATCH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

DISCUSSION...
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CROSS FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AROUND 8 INCHES OF SNOW IN
THE JEMEZ MOUNTAINS. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...BUT THIS LOOKS MORE LIKE A WEST
SLOPE EVENT FOR THE JEMEZ SO DONT BE SURPRISED IF THE EAST SLOPES
RECEIVE LESS SNOW. VIRGA SHOULD BEGIN MOVING INTO THE WILDFIRE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
AFTER SOME RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING ACCUMULATING SNOW MAY
BEGIN LATE TONIGHT...BUT SNOWFALL SHOULD INTENSIFY THURSDAY BEFORE
DECREASING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW
ARE MOST LIKELY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
MAY LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY.


FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......BECOMING CLOUDY. VIRGA DEVELOPING DURING
                       THE LATE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50-54.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS
                       POTENTIALLY UP TO 25 MPH NEAR VIRGA.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 26 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/117000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/0 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING BECOMING
                       VERY GOOD/117000 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                       EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                       AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27-31.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 81-86 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 36-40.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 65-70 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......POOR/37500 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/6000 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING POOR/27500 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...DONALD VIGIL
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101215.GALLI.01/ABQ