FNUS73 KAPX 151343 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR MEMORABLE PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 843 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON DECEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PIVOT AROUND THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL MAINTAIN NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY UNDER 15 MPH...BUT WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST OFF LAKE MICHIGAN AND MAINLY IMPACT NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY. CONDITIONS AT THE BURN SITE WILL START OFF MAINLY SUNNY EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER....LAKE CLOUDS WILL LIKELY EXPAND EASTWARD INTO THE BURN SITE BY AROUND NOON WITH PERHAPS SOME SNOW FLURRIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THROUGH NOON...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT). A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURE.........19 AT IGNITION...MAX 26. RH..................77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........10 20 70 90 90 90 90 90 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............16 19 21 23 24 24 24 23 RH..............77 70 68 62 60 57 57 59 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 11 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 12. RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........89 90 90 90 90 90 90 77 77 77 77 77 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............21 19 18 17 16 15 14 14 14 15 15 14 RH..............62 67 70 73 77 80 80 80 80 80 80 84 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 28. RH..................MIN 71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........77 93 93 93 100 100 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............14 15 20 24 27 27 RH..............84 84 81 74 71 71 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101215.MEMOR.01/APX