FNUS72 KJAX 151241
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CAMP GALLBERRY...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
741 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON DECEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
COLD AND DRY AIRMASS ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL SETTLE
OVER THE AREA TODAY. RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BOTTOM OUT AROUND 20 PERCENT.
ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO MODIFY ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...RH VALUES ARE STILL FORECAST TO BOTTOM OUT NEAR THE
CRITICAL VALUE OF 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS...WITH A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IN EFFECT.

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10 MPH TODAY WITH AN INCREASE TO
S/SWLY WINDS TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-2400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........24     24     24     27     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............20     36     48     53     52
RH..............61     33     21     19     22
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 7    NW 7   NW 6   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1700   1700   2400   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10   N 10   N 10   NW 8   W 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........27     33     33     33     23     23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     38     35     33     31     30
RH..............37     49     54     59     64     68
20 FT WIND......W 2    SW 1   S 1    S 1    S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5                           5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   800    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    SW 2   S 2    S 2    S 5    S 6
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION INDX.15     2      2      1      2      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17
                    TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101215.BIGCA.01/JAX