FNUS74 KLUB 152221 FWSLUB FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FLOYDADA WILDFIRE...TX DPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 421 PM CST WED DEC 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1601 CST ON DECEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...AN ABRUPT NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT... .DISCUSSION... .CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT WILDLAND FIRES WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 5-6 PM. WEST WINDS SUSTAINED IN THE 20-30 MPH RANGE... BRIEFLY IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH...WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOWARD 10-20 MPH SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER THIS EVENING INCREASING FROM CURRENT SINGLE DIGIT VALUES THROUGH THE 20 AND 30 PERCENT RANGES THIS EVENING. AN ABRUPT NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT WILL ACCOMPANY A FRONTAL PASSAGE BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT. POST FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE IN THE 10-20 MPH RANGE...BUT HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER UPWARDS OF 60-70 PERCENT BY SUNRISE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING DUST. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........7 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 18 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CST) 4 PM SKY (%).........49 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....BLDUST TEMP............76 RH..............7 20 FT WIND......W 26 20 FT WIND GUST.40 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 23 EYE LEVEL WIND..40 HAINES INDEX....4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND EARLY 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 9 PM...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 52 52 47 43 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............70 55 47 42 39 36 RH..............10 21 34 44 53 62 20 FT WIND......W 18 W 13 NW 11 NE 16 N 12 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 16 W 12 NW 10 NE 14 N 10 N 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..25 25 25 25 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LINDLEY REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN O NEAL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101215.FLOYD.01/LUB