FNUS75 KBOU 161625 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 925 AM MST THU DEC 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LATEST TRENDS INDICATE THE MOISTURE AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOULD STAY MAINLY TO YOUR SOUTH TODAY AND PROBABLY OVERNIGHT AS WELL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(20-30%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....24. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL THEN INCREASING TO 4400-5400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-1. MAX HUMIDITY........92%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY TIL 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....21. MIN HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG CREEK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/16-09 51 20 12 76 SW 3 1 1797 W 8 22167 P 12/16-10 51 20 15 67 W 3 1 3309 W 12 43151 F 12/16-11 71 27 19 62 W 3 3 2 1 W55 4821 W 15 64136 G 12/16-12 71 27 21 59 W 3 1 5079 W 16 68869 G 12/16-13 71 27 22 57 W 3 1 5337 W 16 73602 G 12/16-14 71 27 22 56 W 3 3 2 1 W58 5596 W 16 78334 G 12/16-15 71 27 22 57 NW 3 1 5147 W 14 65169 G 12/16-16 71 27 20 59 N 2 1 4698 W 13 52003 F 12/16-17 68 60 18 61 NE 2 2 2 1 W58 4249 W 10 38838 P 12/16-18 68 60 16 65 NE 3 1 3259 NW 8 26667 P 12/16-19 68 60 14 70 E 3 1 2269 N 5 14497 P 12/16-20 68 60 11 75 E 5 5 2 1 W53 1280 NE 2 2327 P 12/16-21 68 60 9 79 E 5 1 962 NE 2 1804 P 12/16-22 68 60 8 84 E 3 1 644 E 2 1282 P 12/16-23 65 60 7 87 E 2 2 2 1 W44 326 E 2 759 P 12/17-00 65 60 6 90 CALM 1 293 E 2 571 P 12/17-01 65 60 5 92 CALM 1 260 CALM 384 P 12/17-02 65 60 4 92 CALM 1 3 1 W36 227 CALM 196 P 12/17-03 65 60 4 88 NE 2 1 221 E 2 342 P 12/17-04 65 60 3 84 E 3 1 216 SE 2 489 P 12/17-05 33 10 3 82 SE 5 5 3 1 W29 210 SE 3 635 P 12/17-06 33 10 3 86 SE 5 1 275 SE 3 945 P 12/17-07 33 10 3 92 SE 5 1 341 SE 5 1255 P 12/17-08 33 10 5 90 SE 5 5 4 1 W26 407 SE 5 1565 P 12/17-09 33 10 10 79 SE 5 1 1439 SE 6 6923 P 12/17-10 33 10 13 71 S 5 1 2284 S 6 10393 P 12/17-11 24 8 17 63 S 5 5 4 1 W24 3129 S 5 13862 P 12/17-12 24 8 19 57 S 3 1 3492 SW 7 20859 P 12/17-13 24 8 20 55 SW 3 1 3855 SW 8 27855 P 12/17-14 24 8 21 53 SW 2 2 4 1 W26 4218 W 9 34851 P 12/17-15 24 8 20 53 SW 2 1 3980 W 10 34410 P 12/17-16 24 8 20 53 SW 2 1 3742 W 10 33969 P 12/17-17 57 10 17 57 SW 3 3 3 1 W30 3503 W 12 33528 P 12/17-18 57 10 16 57 SW 5 1 3251 W 12 32568 P 12/17-19 57 10 15 55 SW 6 1 2998 W 13 31609 P 12/17-20 57 10 15 55 SW 7 7 4 1 W30 2745 W 13 30650 P 12/17-21 57 10 14 54 SW 8 1 2530 W 14 29464 P 12/17-22 57 10 14 54 SW 8 1 2315 W 14 28278 P 12/17-23 76 10 13 57 SW 8 13 2 1 W37 2099 W 15 27092 P 12/18-00 76 10 13 66 SW 7 1 1818 W 16 24495 P 12/18-01 76 10 12 77 SW 7 1 1536 W 17 21898 P 12/18-02 76 10 12 87 SW 6 6 2 1 NW61 1255 W 17 19301 P 12/18-03 76 10 11 90 SW 6 1 1064 W 18 16682 P 12/18-04 76 10 11 89 SW 7 1 874 W 18 14064 P 12/18-05 52 31 10 88 SW 8 13 2 1 NW59 683 W 20 11446 P 12/18-06 52 31 10 88 SW 9 1 641 SW 20 10657 P 12/18-07 52 31 10 88 SW 9 1 599 SW 18 9869 P 12/18-08 52 31 11 84 SW 10 16 2 1 NW48 557 SW 18 9080 P 12/18-09 52 31 14 73 SW 12 1 871 SW 21 16759 P 12/18-10 52 31 16 65 SW 13 1 1185 SW 23 24439 P 12/18-11 72 31 19 61 SW 14 22 2 1 W47 1499 SW 24 32118 P 12/18-12 72 31 20 62 SW 14 1 1688 SW 28 40707 F 12/18-13 72 31 21 68 SW 15 1 1877 SW 30 49296 F 12/18-14 72 31 22 75 SW 15 24 2 1 W45 2065 SW 32 57886 F 12/18-15 72 31 22 83 SW 15 1 2048 SW 33 58935 F 12/18-16 72 31 22 90 SW 16 1 2031 SW 35 59984 F 12/18-17 81 37 22 94 SW 16 25 2 1 W54 2014 W 35 61033 G 12/18-18 81 37 22 98 SW 16 1 1850 SW 35 54914 F 12/18-19 81 37 22 100 SW 16 1 1687 SW 33 48795 F 12/18-20 81 37 22 100 SW 16 25 2 1 W54 1523 SW 32 42677 F 12/18-21 81 37 22 100 SW 16 1 1428 SW 31 39361 P 12/18-22 81 37 22 100 SW 15 1 1333 SW 31 36046 P 12/18-23 78 37 22 100 SW 15 24 2 1 W54 1238 SW 30 32730 P 12/19-00 78 37 23 96 SW 15 1 1466 W 31 39817 P 12/19-01 78 37 23 100 W 16 1 1693 W 32 46903 F 12/19-02 78 37 23 100 W 16 25 2 1 W75 1921 W 32 53989 F 12/19-03 78 37 22 100 W 16 1 1948 W 32 54801 F 12/19-04 78 37 23 99 W 17 1 1976 W 32 55613 F 12/19-05 78 49 23 100 W 17 28 2 1 W78 2003 W 32 56425 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JON MYERS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101216.BIGCR.01/BOU