FNUS72 KMFL 171435
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 23B SHELL MOUND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
935 AM EST FRI DEC 17 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

000
FNUS72 KMFL 171432
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 23B SHELL MOUND...FDEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
932 AM EST FRI DEC 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON DECEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT WATERS. WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION IN GENERAL WILL BE SOUTHEAST FROM 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
ACROSS THE BURN AREA...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOUTHEAST
AND BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...IN THE 5
TO 10 KNOT RANGE. BY THE EARLY  AFTERNOON...A WEAK SEA BREEZE COULD
DEVELOP ACROSS THE BURN AREA WITH THE WINDS BECOMING FROM THE WEST
SOUTHWEST FROM TIME TO TIME. AN AREA OF STRATUS CLOUDS IS MOVING
ACROSS OR INTO THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING WITH A CEILING FROM 4 TO 6
THOUSAND FEET FROM TIME TO TIME. ITS POSSIBLE THAT WITH MIXING IN THE
AFTERNOON THAT THE CEILING COULD BEGIN TO BREAK UP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 46.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........70     61     50     50     65     65
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     74     75     75     72     71
RH..............78     59     55     59     68     73
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 8   SE 8   S 5    S 5    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6   SE 8   SE 8   S 5    S 5    S 4
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   3000   3000   3000   3000   1800
MIXNG WIND......SE 12  SE 15  SE 15  S 12   S 12   S 7
DISPERSION IDX..35     48     48     43     43     5
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...GREG CURRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...GREG CURRY
REASON FOR REQUEST...STATE, TRIBAL OR LOCAL FIRE AGENCY WORKING IN COORDINATION WITH A
FEDERAL PARTICIPANT IN THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES.